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Carrum Downs flood & bushfire risk

Of Carrum Downs’s 13,816 mapped properties, 0.3% are in a mapped flood area and 7.6% are in a bushfire hazard area.

For context, Carrum Downs’s flood exposure is below the VIC average of 3.9%, and bushfire exposure is below the VIC average of 18.2%.

0.3%
In a flood area
7.6%
In a bushfire area
13,816
Mapped properties

Where the hazards are in Carrum Downs

Flood and bushfire areas across Carrum Downs. Zoom in to see how they fall relative to individual streets.

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Crime near Carrum Downs

Carrum Downs sits in the Frankston council area, which recorded 12,643 reported offences in the 12 months to Mar 2026.

Showing all crime — tap an offence type below to plot it over time.
07,50015,00020172019202120232025

Every reported offence by type — these add up to the 12,643 total. Figures are for the whole Frankston council area (which may cover several suburbs), last 12 months. Reported offences only.

Property values in Carrum Downs

Median sale price by property type, with the year-on-year change.

Houses
$845,000+18.18%
Median · Q4 2025
Units & apartments
$640,000+11.05%
Median · Q4 2025

Indicative suburb-wide estimate only — not a valuation of any specific property. A home’s actual value depends on its size, condition and exact location. Source: Valuer-General Victoria median sale prices (CC BY 4.0).

Zoning in Carrum Downs

Carrum Downs is mostly residential. The most common zones:

Residential77.6% of properties

General residential — standard housing; allowable density varies by precinct.

Zone: GENERAL RESIDENTIAL ZONE

Industrial18.5% of properties

Industrial / employment — factories, warehouses and trade uses; not intended for homes.

Zone: INDUSTRIAL 1 ZONE

Centre / commercial1.3% of properties

Centre / commercial — shops, offices and mixed use; often allows apartments above.

Zone: COMMERCIAL 1 ZONE

School catchments in Carrum Downs

Carrum Downs can span more than one catchment — check a specific address (below) for the exact school.

Who lives in Carrum Downs

At the 2021 Census, 24.8% of Carrum Downs’s 21,976 residents were born overseas.

Top ancestries

English36.2%
Australian33.9%
Scottish8.8%
Irish8.5%
Italian4.1%
Indian3.7%

Top countries of birth

England3.6%
India2.8%
New Zealand2.7%
Philippines2.1%
Sri Lanka0.9%
China0.7%

Ancestry counts people reporting each ancestry (up to two each), as a share of responses. Source: ABS 2021 Census.

Development near Carrum Downs

Frankston council approved 796 new dwellings in the 12 months to May 2026.

796
Dwellings/yr
209
Houses
587
Units
04258502020202120222023202420252026

New dwellings approved across the whole Frankston council area (not just Carrum Downs). See the council trend. Source: ABS Building Approvals.

Risk varies property by property. Check a specific Carrum Downs address:

Nearby suburbs

Figures are indicative only — verify any specific property with the relevant council. Sources: council/state planning schemes & flood mapping, Geoscape G-NAF, state police crime statistics, ABS.